How Tesla Shares Can Help You Predict the Future

By | September 28, 2018

8 Ways Tesla Shares Can Make You Rich,In the event that you are sufficiently blessed to have acquired Tesla shares at a cost underneath $270.90 – where it exchanged twilight on September 27 – I solidly trust you should take those benefits toward the beginning of today.

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8 Ways Tesla Shares Can Make You Rich

Here are five reasons to sell Tesla stock today.

1. The Musk premium

Were Elon Musk to depart Tesla, the company’s stock would lose the shareholders who believe in him so passionately.

Unlike other recent people perceived as visionary leaders — such as Theranos’s former CEO, Elizabeth Holmes, Musk has created a company that delivers products that actually work and most people love.

Beyond the loss of the emotional attachment of those who are betting the stock will keep rising, Musk’s departure would require Tesla to find a new product visionary to keep the company growing.

Of course, it’s possible that Tesla could go the way of Apple. It turned out to be just fine with a CEO — Tim Cook — who could squeeze far more profit out of the products developed by the visionary, Steve Jobs.

2. Cash flow negative

Musk has been able to keep Tesla’s stock alive because investors assumed that he would be able to persuade Wall Street to lend the company more money.

Without Musk at the helm, can someone else do that job? With $10 billion in debt, a cash burn rate of $1 billion a quarter, and $2.2 billion in cash left, it does not take a genius to realize that Tesla will run out of cash within the next three quarters unless it can raise more.

That’s not all — paying down two convertible notes would give Tesla less than two quarters before it runs out of cash.

How so? In November Tesla is likely to have to pay down $230 million in a convertible bond — since there is a very low chance its shares will reach the conversion price of $560.64. And in March 2019, Tesla will need to fork over another $920 million to retire a separate convertible note unless its shares reach $359.87, according to the Journal.

3. No profit

Tesla has a string of financial results that are unblemished by profitability. Musk thinks he can fix that in the third quarter. According to the Journal, he’s “[betting that a third quarter profit] will prove to doubters that the auto maker has turned a page and can begin generating the cash it needs to do business without having to raise additional capital.”

But as I wrote in August 2017, Musk has a much more compelling track record of what I will politely call exaggerations than of delivering a profitable quarter.

4. No bench strength

In the past two years, Tesla has shed a whopping 50 vice presidents or higher-ranking executives. “Tesla’s top sales executive, Jon McNeill, left for a role as chief operating officer at ride-hailing company Lyft, while the auto maker’s engineering chief, Doug Field, returned to a job at Apple,” according to the Journal.

And its chief accounting officer left for Anaplan, a connected planning company that filed for an IPO recently, after less than a month at Tesla.

That is not a good look for a publicly-traded company.

5. Nervous suppliers

Tesla asked some capital equipment suppliers for cash back this summer. It’s hard to see why a company would ship to a company that would not be able to pay. And as the Journal reported, a survey conducted by Original Equipment Suppliers Association found that 18 of 22 suppliers that responded believed Tesla is now a financial risk.

If I owned a Tesla right now — or was on the waiting list for the Model 3 — I would be nervous as well. To be sure, old DeLoreans are still around and getting serviced. But they don’t need charging stations…

28.5% of Tesla shares are sold short. If Tesla’s board tosses out Musk who sells his stake — and replaces him with someone like Mulally — short sellers could live to regret their bet.

But the odds seem greater that short sellers — like Jim Chanos — could enjoy an Enron-like payday on what has so far proven to be a pretty painful bet.

I ditched corporate America in 1994 and started a management consulting and venture capital firm (http://petercohan.com). I started following stocks in 1981 when I was in grad school at MIT and started analyzing tech stocks as a guest on CNBC in 1998. I became a Forbes contr…

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The Justice Department declined to comment.

In previous fraud cases such as blood-testing firm Theranos, the Justice Department brought criminal charges three months after the SEC announced its settlement with the company’s founder Elizabeth Holmes.

The Justice Department’s criminal probes typically take longer since the standard of proof is higher than the SEC’s civil cases, said legal experts.

“A lot of the time they do work together, but the DOJ’s investigation may go on longer. The SEC wouldn’t delay its case for the DOJ,” Teresa Goody, CEO of law firm Goody Counsel and a former SEC attorney.

GRAPHIC: Tesla stock timeline – tmsnrt.rs/2IkPQ8S

 

“The SEC civil action may lead to Musk’s exit from Tesla (either permanently or temporarily) and the Musk premium in the shares dissipating,” Barclays analyst Brian Johnson said.

Tesla Inc
267.3301
TSLA.ONASDAQ
-40.19(-13.07%)
TSLA.O
TSLA.O
Musk has driven the company to the verge of profitability with a costly ramp-up of production of its Model 3 sedan over the past year. He said overnight he had done nothing wrong and the company’s board reiterated its support for him.

“The bottom line is, what he did was stupid, it was wrong, I don’t think he’s going to be thrown out,” said a large Tesla investor, who asked not to be identified due to sensitivity of the situation.

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“My guess is he’ll pay a big fine. I wouldn’t be surprised if as a settlement to the SEC he drops his chair of the board” role.

Shares were last down 12 percent at $270.39 in midday trading, wiping about $6 billion off Tesla’s market value.

The SEC’s lawsuit, filed in Manhattan federal court, caps a tumultuous two months set in motion on Aug. 7 when Musk told his more than 22 million Twitter followers that he might take Tesla private at $420 per share, with “funding secured.”

The regulator charged that Musk “knew or was reckless in not knowing” that his tweets were false and misleading.

Reporting by Munsif Vengattil, Sonam Rai and Vibhuti Sharma in Bengaluru; Michelle Price and Jan Wolfe in Washington; Ross Kerber in Boston; Editing by Patrick Graham and Meredith Mazzilli

Our Standards:The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

BUSINESS NEWSSEPTEMBER 28, 2018 / 6:18 AM / UPDATED 4 HOURS AGO
Musk would not give up chairman role to settle SEC lawsuit: CNBC
3 MIN READ

(Reuters) – Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk refused to pay a nominal fine and give up the role of chairman for two years as part of a settlement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CNBC reported on Friday, citing sources.

FILE PHOTO: Tesla Chief Executive Office Elon Musk speaks at his company’s factory in Fremont, California, U.S., June 22, 2012. REUTERS/Noah Berger/File Photo
The settlement would also require Tesla to appoint two new independent directors, the report said.

Musk reportedly refused to sign the deal as he felt by settling he would not be truthful to himself and he wouldn’t have been able to live with the idea that he agreed to accept a settlement and any blemish associated with that, the report said.

Tesla did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

“I’m not sure if they can settle with the SEC after turning down the opportunity, but you never know,” Ivan Fienseth, an analyst with Tigress Financial Partners said.

The SEC on Thursday filed a lawsuit against Musk accusing him of fraud and sought to remove him from his role saying he made a series of “false and misleading” tweets about potentially taking the company private.

Shares of Tesla dived 11 percent on Friday as Wall Street worried the lawsuit could force Musk to step down and make it difficult for the loss-making carmaker to raise more capital.

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Several worried that the SEC action was also just the beginning of a legal battle with authorities, short sellers and other investors over Musk’s actions that could cost Tesla heavily.

Tesla Inc
267.3301
TSLA.ONASDAQ
-40.19(-13.07%)
TSLA.O
TSLA.O
“The SEC civil action may lead to Musk’s exit from Tesla (either permanently or temporarily) and the Musk premium in the shares dissipating,” Barclays analyst Brian Johnson said.

Musk, 47, is the public face of Tesla, and has driven it to the verge of profitability with a costly ramp-up of production of its Model 3 sedan over the past year.

The Silicon Valley billionaire, who within three weeks of the tweets had abandoned the plan to delist Tesla, said overnight he had done nothing wrong and the company’s board reiterated its support for him.

“It will be too damaging to Tesla for him to be removed fully,” Fienseth said.

“In order for Tesla to raise money I think investors will want Musk to stay involved but have more controls in place.”

Tesla Shares were last down 11.2 pct at $273, wiping about $6 billion off Tesla’s market value.

Reporting by Sonam Rai in Bengaluru; Editing by Arun Koyyur

Our Standards:The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
#TOMORROWSEUROPEJULY 1, 2018 / 10:23 PM / 2 MONTHS AGO
GDPR: From compliance headache to business opportunity
Brought to you byBarclays Corporate Banking
6 MIN READ

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The Information Commissioner’s Office has described the new GDPR laws as “the biggest change to data protection law for a generation”. Businesses will face a maximum fine of up to £17 million or 4% of global turnover, if they breach the EU rules. These are critical, but turbulent times for businesses across Europe. However, if organisations of all sizes play their cards right, GDPR can be transformed from a compliance nightmare, into a business advantage.
GDPR has been described as the biggest overhaul of online privacy since the birth of the internet. We’ve all been hearing about compliancy but with the dust beginning to settle, what’s next for businesses now this new chapter of data regulation has been opened? Host Paul Henley welcomes Ardi Kolah, Director of the GDPR Programme and author of the GDPR Handbook, and Jon Rees, Managing Director and Data Protection Officer at Barclays.

Competitive advantage

“General Data Protection Regulation is generally seen in a fairly negative light, particularly by organisations. But I think there is a huge opportunity to differentiate services based on trust. The consumer gains from interaction with any institution,” according to Managing Director and Data Protection Officer at Barclays, Jon Rees. He adds: “Our recent research has shown that the number one concern – across many different demographics and usages – is security of customer information, and how it’s being used. There’s a competitive advantage to be had by applying GDPR in a positive way.”

Consistency by design

As a ‘complex corporate’ itself, Barclays has seen another major benefit of GDPR, and that’s the obligatory enforcement of good practice and consistency by design across organisations, in terms of the harmonising of data systems. While it’s still early days, transparency is fast-becoming the buzzword of GDPR’s inaugural year.

Consumer confusion

There are, predictably, some areas of confusion that are emerging, especially for consumers – in part accelerated by miscommunication. People are confused about what their individual rights are when it comes to personal data and consent, and right to deletion. Some are interpreting consent as: ‘unless I’ve given a firm my approval, it has no right to use my data’. While this is not correct, the lack of understanding is unsurprising, given the complexities of GDPR and it being in its infancy. However, this is where businesses can once again shine. Those that are helpful, and offer clear communication with their consumers on GDPR, will come out on top as trustworthy brands that always put the customer first. A more consumer-centric approach is, after all, at the heart of GDPR.

Grey areas

What is less clear, however, concerns non-EU companies dealing with the data of EU nationals. Without a doubt, all organisations across all sectors are at the start of a journey, not the end, when it comes to the implementation of GDPR. There has been so much focus on firms within the EU and what they’re doing, that not that much light has been shone on the extra-territorial impact of GDPR. And then, of course, Britain’s departure from the European Union may throw up more challenges when it comes to the nuances surrounding these new laws.

Post-Brexit

“From a data perspective, the UK Government is being very clear about following continuing GDPR post-Brexit, with data protection being one of the areas where the UK has gone furthest forward in saying it’s fully aligned with the EU. The UK government is proposing a fully harmonised approach, with the UK retaining very active participation in all aspects of GDPR. Whether that’s actually possible, following the negotiation process, remains to be seen.” according to Barclays’ Jon Rees.

Insider view

Back at home, Barclays itself has been undergoing a vast, two-year GDPR implementation programme. From its own experience, reigniting trust in its customers has been a huge positive to the new regulations, despite the implementation challenges. It’s also seen some demonstrable benefits to understanding inside-out the way in which it handles and communicates the handling of data. “If you do it well, you differentiate yourself by building trust. While it’s been a heavy lift to get there, over time people will hopefully find it much easier to keep on top of,” adds Rees.

With rules, come rewards

Businesses may well have EU ePrivacy Regulations arriving next, hot on the heels of this revolution in data laws. But, now that most of the ‘heavy lift’ has been done with GDPR, businesses that adopt a consumer-focused mindset, based on transparency and trust, will be able to turn these new rules into great rewards.

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